Gold Price Prediction for September 26, 2025: Why a ‘Sell on Rise’ Strategy Could Be the Best Move
Gold Price Prediction Today: Intraday Structure Supports Sell-on-Rise Strategy with EMA, MACD, and Bollinger Resistance. (AI image)
Gold Price Prediction Today: Why a Sell-on-Rise Strategy Works
Gold price prediction today shows a bearish bias as technical indicators point to limited upside. Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst – Commodity and Currency at LKP Securities, recommends a sell-on-rise strategy for intraday traders.
Current Gold Price and Market Sentiment
Gold futures on MCX trade near ₹1,13,940 after a volatile session. Price action shows exhaustion near resistance levels. Global markets remain cautious ahead of key US economic data and Federal Reserve rate expectations, adding selling pressure on rallies.
Intraday Gold Trading Strategy
- Strategy: Sell on rise
- Entry Zone: ₹1,13,700 – ₹1,13,900
- Stop-Loss: ₹1,14,325
- Targets: ₹1,13,400 and ₹1,13,200
- Bias: Bearish below ₹1,13,900; reversal only above ₹1,14,325
Gold Technical Analysis
- Moving Averages (EMA 8 & 21): EMA 8 trades below EMA 21, confirming weak short-term momentum. Treat any bounce toward resistance as a selling opportunity unless prices sustain above ₹1,14,325.
- Bollinger Bands: Gold trades near the mid-band after testing the lower band. Resistance at ₹1,13,900–₹1,14,000 is likely to cap upside moves.
- Pivot Points:
- Resistance: ₹1,13,900 – ₹1,14,325
- Support: ₹1,13,400 – ₹1,13,200
- RSI: At 56, showing mild recovery but not overbought, indicating rallies may face supply pressure.
- MACD: Negative territory with a possible crossover, but no strong confirmation yet.
- ADX: Moderate trend strength suggests the current bounce lacks conviction.
Conclusion
Gold’s intraday structure favors a sell-on-rise strategy as EMA crossover, MACD positioning, and Bollinger resistance indicate limited upside. Traders should short near ₹1,13,700–₹1,13,900 with a stop-loss at ₹1,14,325 and aim for ₹1,13,400 and ₹1,13,200.